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Reading the Tea Party Leaves PDF Print E-mail
Culture and Politics - Politics
Written by Douglas Wilson   
Wednesday, 09 May 2012 06:46

And now for a quick little political roundup. And speaking of that, wouldn't it be nice if we had enough Round Up to spray all over Washington, but I find I have stumbled into the common error of confusing things that sound alike, and I also really need to work on focusing.

The turnout for Wisconsin governor Scott Walker, in a uncontested primary, was massive, indicating high levels of support in the upcoming recall election. The voters of North Carolina very cheerfully, and with landslide margins, amended their constitution to say that marriage consisted of a man and a woman, one each. Who would have thought? Sen. Lugar did his best imitation of the Hindenburg, and lost bigtime to his Tea Party primary challenger Mourdock. In West Virginia, a felon residing in the slammer walked away with 40% of the vote in the Democratic primary in his challenge of President Obama. And James Carville, a man who knows how to read tea party leaves, warned his fellow Democrats that assuming they had this election in the bag could be a very big mistake.

And Ron Paul . . . let us call him Old Redoubtable . . . continues to rack up delegates in an impressive way. Since Romney became the "presumptive nominee," this has had the interesting result of getting everybody else to stay home, pretty much, except for the Ron Paul supporters, who are, shall we say, Highly Motivated, and who still have a play to run. The other players are in the showers, and the Paul team remains on the field. This would normally be silly, except that the clock is still running, and the refs are still out there also.

The strategy adopted by Paul is starting to become clear. What is he after? If Ron Paul were pursuing this strategy as a way of trying to secure the nomination himself, all this would mean is that he is willing to exploit loopholes in the rules of the Republican Party to thwart the will of the people who voted in all those elections. The Republican Party could amend their rules after the fact, but that wouldn't make the whole thing any less distasteful. Bleh.

But I don't believe he is doing that at all. And I don't think he is doing anything so (relatively) insignificant as securing a prime speaking slot at the convention. I think this is all about the party platform, and driving the whole thing hard right, and perhaps about the vp selection. If this is the case, he will have the cooperation of a lot of hard conservatives who supported mainstream candidates for pragmatic reasons, but who, having nominated Romney, could really go in for tying his moderate hands and feet. A number of Paul's positions are attractive to ordinary conservatives (fiscal policy, monitor the Fed, civil liberties issues, etc.), and to compromise with them on these issues would not be compromise so much as agreement. We shall see.

This is not an argument for voting for Romney, which I am not going to do. But it is an argument for electing a Congress that will make life miserable for any president to the left of Tammerlane. And the early indicators show that this is a real possibility.

 

 



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Mitch Turner  - There could actually be an interesting convention!  Wednesday, May 09, 2012 8:18 am
Yes, it's very fun to watch. But I gotta think it's more than the platform. Ron Paul and other leaders supporting him have to know the platform is only slightly less meaningless than a speaking slot.

Also interesting is how despite the media trying to downplay the power of the Tea Party, at the state/local level they continue to show muscle. But on the national level, the Establishment still rules.
Matt Weber  Wednesday, May 09, 2012 9:28 am
The interesting thing is demographics. Ron Paul supporters are mostly young, and it's probably fair to say that he has a majority, or something close to it, of young Republicanish voters. The rest of the GOP is old, I think National Review's average reader age is something like 62--old cold warriors who want to bomb Iran because Hitler! The real effect of Ron Paul probably won't be felt for 20 years, but we'll then be looking back at the current paradigm and wondering how no one saw the signs.

The other demographic aspect is race. The GOP is the party of whites. It holds little appeal for nonwhites despite constant pandering. Why this is I have no idea--I suspect there is something pre-rational about it--but in 2040 or thereabouts this country flips majority nonwhite, and the GOP will have to figure out some way to broaden its appeal.
Ron Smith  Thursday, May 10, 2012 1:36 pm
Ron Paul is doing well with Hispanic voters, probably because he wants to make legal immigration and temporary work visas easier to attain. And just think how easy it'll be to spot terrorists and other criminals sneaking across the boarder when they aren't surrounded by regular folks who just want a job.
Joseph Hession  Wednesday, May 09, 2012 9:49 am
No comment on your boy Santorum compromising his Christian principlals and endorsing Romney?
Douglas Wilson  Wednesday, May 09, 2012 12:11 pm
Joseph, he didn't compromise his Christian principles, apparently. But he did compromise mine.
JP1  Wednesday, May 09, 2012 12:27 pm
You should read the chapter on "Religion" in Ron pauls "liberty defined", along with several others.

In a related note paul has a more radically left view of Marriage than Obama's new position stated in the book.

I think there is lots if compromising of princples and been going on for awhile. Romney should be a piece of cake.
Mitch Turner  - No surprise, he's RS looks out for #1  Wednesday, May 09, 2012 1:24 pm
Santorum has a record of endorsing the worst candidates imaginable if he thinks it helps him politically. He'll compromise his most sacred principles. Given that he's been willing to go full bore for people who support partial-birth abortion, giving Romney such a lame endorsement looks like sour grapes.
Joseph Hession  Wednesday, May 09, 2012 4:13 pm
Quote:
Joseph, he didn't compromise his Christian principles, apparently. But he did compromise mine.


You may be right, but my take on Santorum has always been that he does have similar Christian principles, he is simply prone to compromising them when power is on the line.
Ron Jung  - And also from Wisconsin...  Wednesday, May 09, 2012 5:58 pm
Tom Barrett beat the -backed Kathleen Falk in the Democrat primary. It was the s that forced the recall and their millions of dollars to back Falk just went down the drain.
Ron Jung  - And also from Wisconsin...  Wednesday, May 09, 2012 5:58 pm
Tom Barrett beat the -backed Kathleen Falk in the Democrat primary. It was the s that forced the recall and their millions of dollars to back Falk just went down the drain.
Ron Jung  - The word is missing  Thursday, May 10, 2012 3:03 am
Falk was backed by the ONIONs (only with a U)
INTJ22  Wednesday, May 09, 2012 8:06 pm
"Loopholes"? "Thwart"? Sir, it is called Republicanism.
Ron Smith  - Candidate for Precinct Committeeman, Precinct 3, L  Thursday, May 10, 2012 1:27 pm
Just the point I was going to comment on. As one who is actively involved in an attempt to "thwart the will of the [South Idaho mormons]", I would just like to add that no one is holding them back from running for Committee Chair seats to make sure Romney's delegates are ratified at the state convention. There has been, however, illegal efforts on the part of Romney folks to shut Ron Paul supporters out of state conventions. The RNC Chairman has even threatened to not allow any Nevada delegates to the National Convention.

Pastor Wilson, does this mean I cannot count on your vote for Precinct Committeeman? :)
Ensberg  Thursday, May 10, 2012 9:21 am
Ron Paul's influence is exaggerated. He's a niche politician. He seems massively popular to the type of people who read Reformed blogs, but across the party he's finished consistently behind the other contestants.
Joseph Hession  Thursday, May 10, 2012 11:32 am
Quote:
Ron Paul's influence is exaggerated


It sounds like what you meant to say is that Ron Paul's influence is exaggerated WITHIN THE REPUBLICAN PARTY. Because based on the thousands that flock to his ralleys on campuses, certainly you are not prepared to say that it is exaggerated within unregistered college students...
Ron Smith  - Why Can't Romney Win Delegates Like Ron Paul?  Thursday, May 10, 2012 1:49 pm
Why Can't Romney Win Delegates Like Ron Paul?

http://communities.washingtontimes.com/neighborhood/reawakening-liberty/2012/may/10/why-cant-romney-win-delegates-ron-paul/
Tammy Burns  Thursday, May 10, 2012 2:04 pm
Ron Paul can win the nomination. While there have been reports of voter fraud in the primaries, its harder to hide fraud when picking delegates. So it doesn't mean this isn't the will of the people.

Romney was able to push through gay marriage in Massachusetts. Paul believes marriage is up to the church instead of the State. That's the way it was early on in our country. If the church didn't abdicate their role we could do more to moderate divorce also.